Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's ownership discussions by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Elon Musk purchases TikTok • 25%
Another U.S. company purchases TikTok • 25%
TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or major news outlets
Story
Trump Open to Elon Musk Purchasing TikTok, Suggests Giving Half to U.S.
Jan 21, 2025, 10:47 PM
President Donald Trump has expressed openness to the idea of Elon Musk purchasing TikTok, amid ongoing discussions about the social media platform's future due to national security concerns. Trump has met with TikTok's owners and is considering suggesting that someone buy TikTok and give half of the proceeds to the United States. This statement comes as part of broader deliberations on the platform's ownership and operations within the U.S.
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Other Resolution • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to US Company • 25%
Sold to Non-US Company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Sold to US-based company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a single buyer • 25%
Remains with current ownership • 25%
Sold to multiple buyers • 25%
Elon Musk acquires TikTok • 25%
Larry Ellison acquires TikTok • 25%
Other party acquires TikTok • 25%
No acquisition occurs • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Continued operation under current ownership • 25%
Other agreement • 25%
50% U.S. ownership joint venture • 25%
Complete sale to a U.S. entity • 25%
Ban suspended • 25%
No change • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok resumes operations under new ownership • 25%
TikTok remains shut down in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Ban lifted with no sale or government ownership • 25%