Market
What will be TikTok's ownership outcome by Jan 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, TikTok, or the U.S. Department of Justice
Story
Appeals Court Denies TikTok's Bid; Ban Set for January 19 Unless Sold
Dec 14, 2024, 12:53 AM
On Friday, the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) asked a federal appeals court to reject TikTok's emergency bid to temporarily block a law requiring its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest the short-video app by January 19, 2025, or face a ban. The appeals court denied TikTok's request, leaving the mid-January deadline in place. TikTok is expected to appeal to the Supreme Court as it faces a potential U.S. ban if it does not comply with the law.
View original story
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Owned by another entity • 25%
Owned by MrBeast • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Joint US-China ownership • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains with current ownership • 25%
Sold to multiple buyers • 25%
Sold to a single buyer • 25%
Sold to US Company • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Sold to Non-US Company • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
International ownership • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Elon Musk purchases TikTok • 25%
Another U.S. company purchases TikTok • 25%
TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Other • 25%
Remain under ByteDance • 25%
International consortium • 25%
US-based company • 25%
Other • 25%