Market
What will be the outcome of TikTok's ownership structure by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold to a single buyer • 25%
Sold to multiple buyers • 25%
Remains with current ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, major news outlets
Story
Trump Open to Elon Musk Buying TikTok, Suggests Buyer Give Half to U.S.
Jan 21, 2025, 10:50 PM
President Donald Trump stated that he is open to Elon Musk purchasing TikTok if the Tesla CEO is interested, saying "I would be" when asked by reporters. Trump confirmed that he has met with TikTok owners and is contemplating proposing that someone buy the social media app and give half of it to the United States. He also indicated openness to figures like Elon Musk or Larry Ellison acquiring the platform.
View original story
Similar markets
Banned in U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Other Resolution • 25%
Sold to US Company • 25%
Sold to Non-US Company • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Elon Musk acquires TikTok • 25%
Larry Ellison acquires TikTok • 25%
No acquisition occurs • 25%
Other party acquires TikTok • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Resumes operations • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Remain under ByteDance • 25%
International consortium • 25%
Other • 25%
US-based company • 25%
TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Another U.S. company purchases TikTok • 25%
Elon Musk purchases TikTok • 25%
Remains ByteDance Owned • 33%
Joint Ownership • 34%
Sold to U.S. Company • 33%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Other • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Owned by another entity • 25%
Owned by MrBeast • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%
Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
TikTok is banned in the U.S. • 25%
Extension granted for divestment • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues operations • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%