Market
How will national security concerns regarding TikTok be resolved by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok implements security measures • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Statements from U.S. government officials or major news outlets
Story
Trump Open to Elon Musk Purchasing TikTok, Suggests Giving Half to U.S.
Jan 21, 2025, 10:47 PM
President Donald Trump has expressed openness to the idea of Elon Musk purchasing TikTok, amid ongoing discussions about the social media platform's future due to national security concerns. Trump has met with TikTok's owners and is considering suggesting that someone buy TikTok and give half of the proceeds to the United States. This statement comes as part of broader deliberations on the platform's ownership and operations within the U.S.
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Similar markets
Nationwide ban • 25%
Acquisition by U.S. entity • 25%
Continued operation under ByteDance • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%
Concerns resolved with new policy • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Operational restrictions imposed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Concerns Resolved • 25%
Concerns Unresolved • 25%
Sale to U.S. Entity • 25%
Resolved with security measures • 25%
Resolved with new ownership • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Security Measures Implemented • 25%
Ban Enforced • 25%
Partial Measures • 25%
No Changes Made • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Concerns resolved with TikTok allowed to operate • 25%
Concerns unresolved with TikTok banned • 25%
Concerns unresolved with TikTok restricted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Regulations imposed • 25%
Other action • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Complete divestiture • 25%
Partial divestiture • 25%
No changes • 25%