Market
What will be the outcome of legal discussions on TikTok's U.S. status by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban suspended • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
No change • 25%
Legal documents, government announcements, or major news outlets
Story
Trump Requests Suspension of Federal Law Threatening TikTok Ban in the United States
Dec 28, 2024, 07:59 AM
Donald Trump has requested the suspension of a federal law that threatens to ban TikTok in the United States. This move comes amid ongoing discussions regarding the app's future in the country, which has faced scrutiny over data privacy and security concerns. Trump's appeal reflects his continued engagement with the platform and its user base, as well as the broader implications for social media regulation in the U.S.
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No action taken • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Other • 25%
Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Pending further legal review • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Regulation • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Elon Musk purchases TikTok • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Another U.S. company purchases TikTok • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%