Market
What will be the outcome of the next major military engagement between Ukraine and Russia by April 30, 2025?
2
Ukraine•Russian•Rostov•Security Service of Ukraine•SBU•Ukrainian Navy•Neptune missile•Chaltyr•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukrainian victory • 25%
Russian victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified reports from international military analysts or news agencies
Story
Ukraine Uses Neptune Missile in Joint SBU-Navy Operation to Strike Russian Recon Drone Facility in Rostov
Jan 10, 2025, 08:58 AM
Ukraine conducted a targeted strike on a Russian reconnaissance drone storage facility in the Rostov region overnight on January 10. The attack, a joint operation by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and the Ukrainian Navy, utilized SBU drones and a domestically-produced Neptune missile. According to a source in Ukraine's defense forces, the drones first overwhelmed Russian air defenses, allowing the Neptune missile to strike the facility near the village of Chaltyr. The facility was storing both ammunition and reconnaissance drones used by Russia to support deep strikes against Ukraine. This operation marks a significant effort by Ukraine to disrupt Russian military capabilities.
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Russian Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukrainian victory • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Russian victory • 25%
Majority intercepted • 25%
No interception • 25%
Minimal interception • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukraine launches new offensive • 25%
Russia launches new offensive • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
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Other • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
Ukraine loses some territory • 25%
Ukraine loses significant territory • 25%
Ukraine maintains current territory • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
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Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%