Market
What will be the outcome of Ukraine's conflict with Russia by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Ukraine or Russia, or verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Trump May Push Ukraine for Peace Without Security Guarantees as Early as 2025, Financial Times Reports
Dec 30, 2024, 05:23 AM
As the potential for a new U.S. presidency looms, discussions surrounding the future of Ukraine's conflict with Russia have intensified. Analysts suggest that Donald Trump may advocate for a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia without providing security guarantees for Ukraine. The Financial Times reported that Trump's transactional approach and desire to avoid military conflicts could lead to the U.S. facilitating a deal that eases sanctions on Russia. This scenario could unfold as early as 2025, with experts noting that Ukraine faces a challenging decision regarding its sovereignty and security amidst ongoing aggression from Russia. The complexities of the situation have raised questions about Ukraine's ability to endure another year of war, with various opinions emerging on the necessary support from Europe and America to ensure Ukraine's resilience.
View original story
Similar markets
Russia gains significant control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ukraine regains territories • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Formal ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%