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What will be the outcome of Ukraine's defense against Russian forces in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine maintains current territory • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
Ukraine loses some territory • 25%
Ukraine loses significant territory • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from Ukrainian government
Story
Blinken Reveals U.S. Began Arming Ukraine with Stinger and Javelin in September 2021
Jan 4, 2025, 02:32 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has disclosed that the United States began arming Ukraine well before the onset of Russia's special military operation. In an interview with The New York Times, Blinken revealed that the U.S. started supplying weapons, including Stinger and Javelin systems, to Ukraine as early as September 2021, with further deliveries in December of the same year. The aim was to ensure that Ukraine had the necessary means to defend itself, particularly to prevent the capture of Kyiv by Russian forces.
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Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian victory • 25%
Ukrainian victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Significant territorial gain • 25%
No change • 25%
Territorial loss • 25%
Minor territorial gain • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ukraine regains territories • 25%
Russia gains significant control • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%