Market
What will be the outcome of military engagements between Ukraine and Russia by June 30, 2025?
2
Ukrainian•Rostov•Taganrog•Yury Slyusar•ATACMS•Taganrog Metallurgical Plant•Kamensky Combine•Malaya Kamenka•Storm Shadow•Ukrainian Air Force
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Reports from military analysts and verified news agencies
Story
Ukraine Launches ATACMS, Storm Shadow Missiles at Rostov; Russia Intercepts 10 Missiles
Dec 18, 2024, 04:31 PM
Russian air defense systems activated in response to Ukrainian missile strikes targeting the Rostov region, including Rostov-on-Don, Taganrog, and Kamensk-Shakhtinsky. Acting Governor Yury Slyusar reported that air defenses intercepted 10 missiles, including ATACMS ballistic missiles and Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG cruise missiles. The attacks reportedly targeted military and industrial facilities, such as the Taganrog Metallurgical Plant and the Kamensky Combine, a major chemical plant producing rocket fuel. In the village of Malaya Kamenka, debris from intercepted missiles caused a residential building to catch fire. This marks the first time that Storm Shadow missiles have targeted the Rostov region. The Ukrainian Air Force released images of the missiles in flight, but no casualties have been reported.
View original story
Similar markets
Russian victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian victory • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Russian victory • 25%
Ukrainian victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Other • 25%
Reduced tensions • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased drone attacks • 25%
Increased drone attacks • 25%