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What will be the outcome of Russia's retaliation against Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis and reports from international relations experts and news outlets
Story
Medvedev Promises Retaliation for Assassination of Russia's Nuclear Troops Chief Kirillov
Dec 17, 2024, 01:02 PM
Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, has vowed retaliation against Ukraine's leadership following the assassination of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, head of Russia's Nuclear, Biological and Chemical Protection Troops. Kirillov and his aide were killed in an explosion in Moscow, caused by a bomb hidden in an electric scooter, which Russian authorities have described as a terrorist act. Medvedev accused Ukraine of carrying out cowardly and unacceptable strikes on peaceful cities, and warned that the military and political leadership of Ukraine would face imminent punishment for Kirillov's death.
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Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased airstrikes in Ukraine • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
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Status quo maintained • 25%
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No agreement reached • 25%
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Cyber attack • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Other forms of retaliation • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Deployment of additional ground troops • 25%
Increased airstrikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Russia gains significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Missile attack on Kyiv • 25%
Increased cyber attacks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%