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What will be the outcome of Russian military initiative in Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and confirmed by independent observers
Story
Putin Claims Russian Forces Hold Initiative in Ukraine, Control 189 Towns, Warns of Missile Deployment Response
Dec 16, 2024, 10:38 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that Russian forces currently hold the initiative along the frontline in Ukraine, asserting that they have gained control over 189 towns throughout the year. He expressed concern regarding the United States' development and potential deployment of short and medium-range missiles, indicating that such actions by the U.S. would compel Russia to lift its self-imposed restrictions on deploying similar missiles. Putin emphasized that Russia is not threatening to use nuclear weapons, describing its stance as a policy of nuclear deterrence. He also warned that if the U.S. continues its military support for Ukraine, Russia may need to take additional measures to ensure its security.
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Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Russia gains significant control • 25%
Ukraine regains territories • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Ukraine loses significant territory • 25%
Ukraine gains territory • 25%
Ukraine maintains current territory • 25%
Ukraine loses some territory • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Ukrainian Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russian Victory • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Russian victory • 25%
Ukrainian victory • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%