Market
What will be ByteDance's response to the U.S. TikTok ban by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
Wins legal challenge and resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned throughout 2025 • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, court rulings, news reports
Story
TikTok and CapCut Shut Down in U.S. After Midnight Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 03:39 AM
On January 19, 2025, at midnight, TikTok officially shut down its services in the United States following a nationwide ban. The popular social media app is no longer accessible to U.S. users. CapCut, another app owned by TikTok's parent company ByteDance, has also suspended U.S. services as the company refused to sell.
View original story
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Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Divestment from TikTok • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Sell TikTok US operations • 25%
Appeal the ban • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok resumes without sale • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Negotiation with US authorities • 25%
Alternative business strategy • 25%
Other response • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Focus on non-U.S. markets • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Develop alternative apps • 25%
Sell TikTok • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
No major action • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Other response • 25%
Other strategic moves • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increase marketing efforts • 25%
Launch similar features • 25%