Market
How will TikTok's major competitors respond to the U.S. ban by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Launch similar features • 25%
Increase marketing efforts • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other strategic moves • 25%
Official announcements from major social media companies
Story
Supreme Court Unanimously Upholds TikTok Ban Starting Sunday Unless ByteDance Divests
Jan 17, 2025, 03:08 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has unanimously upheld, in a 9-0 decision, a federal law requiring TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest from the popular social media app by Sunday, January 19th, or face a nationwide ban. The ruling, which rejected TikTok's First Amendment challenge, allows the divest-or-ban law to go into effect as scheduled. The Court cited national security concerns over data collection practices and Chinese control of the app. The ban, set to begin this Sunday, could potentially affect TikTok's 170 million American users unless ByteDance complies with the divestment requirement.
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Similar markets
Other response • 25%
Legal action • 25%
Negotiation with US authorities • 25%
Alternative business strategy • 25%
No major action • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Other • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
Compliance with US regulations • 25%
Remove TikTok • 33%
Keep TikTok • 33%
No decision by deadline • 34%
Other actions • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Challenge in court • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Divest from ByteDance • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
File another legal challenge • 25%
Cease U.S. operations permanently • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
Other action • 25%
Instagram releases new features • 25%
Snapchat increases user engagement • 25%
YouTube launches short video incentives • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Wins legal challenge and resumes operations • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Remains banned throughout 2025 • 25%
Sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Complete withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Other • 25%
Divestment from TikTok • 25%
Implement partial restrictions • 25%
Follow US with similar bans • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Condemn US action • 25%