Market
What will be ByteDance's next significant action in response to the TikTok ban by June 30, 2025?
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Menasha•Wisconsin•Fond du Lac•Glenn Grothman•TikTok•Supreme Court•ByteDance•Grothman•Republican•Donald Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Appeal the ban • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Sell TikTok US operations • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance or credible news outlet reporting
Story
19-Year-Old Arrested for Arson at Rep. Glenn Grothman's Office in Fond du Lac Over TikTok Ban, No Injuries Reported
Jan 19, 2025, 06:04 PM
A 19-year-old man from Menasha, Wisconsin, was arrested early Sunday morning after allegedly setting fire to a strip mall at 525 N. Peters Ave in Fond du Lac, where U.S. Representative Glenn Grothman's district office is located. The suspect cited the recent TikTok ban as his motive for starting the fire. The incident occurred around 1 a.m., and the building was unoccupied at the time, resulting in no injuries. The fire was contained outside the building, affecting the siding and an air conditioning unit. The suspect admitted to the act in response to talks of a TikTok ban, which went into effect over the weekend after the Supreme Court upheld a law banning the app due to national security concerns about TikTok and its parent company, ByteDance. Grothman, a Republican, had voted in favor of the legislation that led to the ban. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he will sign an executive order to stall the app's ban. The suspect is currently being held at Fond du Lac County Jail, and an arson charge is being referred to the Fond du Lac County District Attorney's Office.
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Similar markets
Complete withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Other • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Divestment from TikTok • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
No major action • 25%
Comply with divestment • 25%
File new lawsuit • 25%
Negotiate settlement • 25%
Wins legal challenge and resumes operations • 25%
Remains banned throughout 2025 • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok resumes without sale • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
Divestment of TikTok • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Comply without divestiture • 25%
Divest ownership • 25%
Other response • 25%
Alternative business strategy • 25%
Negotiation with US authorities • 25%
Legal action • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok • 25%
TikTok operations suspended • 25%
Other action • 25%
No change • 25%
Relaxation of current bans • 25%
Further bans on ByteDance apps • 25%
Other action • 25%