Market
What will be the U.S. government's stance on ByteDance's other apps by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban on all ByteDance apps • 25%
Ban on some ByteDance apps • 25%
No further bans • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official government announcements, news reports
Story
TikTok and CapCut Shut Down in U.S. After Midnight Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 03:39 AM
On January 19, 2025, at midnight, TikTok officially shut down its services in the United States following a nationwide ban. The popular social media app is no longer accessible to U.S. users. CapCut, another app owned by TikTok's parent company ByteDance, has also suspended U.S. services as the company refused to sell.
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No change • 25%
Other action • 25%
Further bans on ByteDance apps • 25%
Relaxation of current bans • 25%
Other action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Regulations imposed • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Regulation changes • 25%
No Action • 25%
Complete Ban • 25%
Partial Restrictions • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Policy is relaxed • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy becomes stricter • 25%
No action • 25%
Ban • 25%
Regulation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
Other • 25%
50% U.S. ownership in joint venture • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance finds approved buyer • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Less than 50% stake acquired • 25%
No stake acquired • 25%
50% stake acquired • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%