Market
Will ByteDance challenge the U.S. TikTok ban in court by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings, official announcements from ByteDance
Story
TikTok and CapCut Shut Down in U.S. After Midnight Ban
Jan 19, 2025, 03:39 AM
On January 19, 2025, at midnight, TikTok officially shut down its services in the United States following a nationwide ban. The popular social media app is no longer accessible to U.S. users. CapCut, another app owned by TikTok's parent company ByteDance, has also suspended U.S. services as the company refused to sell.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Legal challenge • 25%
Complete withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Divestment from TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok resumes without sale • 25%
Appeal the ban • 25%
Other • 25%
Sell TikTok US operations • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
