Market
What resolution will TikTok reach for U.S. operations by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full divestment and continued operation • 25%
Partial divestment with conditions • 25%
No divestment and continued operation • 25%
Operation ceased in U.S. • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, and U.S. government agencies
Story
TikTok CEO Thanks Trump for Commitment to Keep App Available in U.S. Amid ByteDance Divestment Deadline
Jan 17, 2025, 06:43 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew has publicly thanked President-elect Donald Trump for his commitment to working with the company to find a solution that would keep TikTok available in the United States. This statement follows the Supreme Court's decision to uphold a law that threatens to ban TikTok in the U.S. unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests its stake by January 19. Chew emphasized Trump's understanding of the platform, noting the president-elect's use of TikTok to express his own thoughts and perspectives, which has garnered over 60 billion views. Trump has indicated that he will make a decision on TikTok's future in the near future, but has not specified what actions he might take.
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Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is indefinitely postponed • 25%
Ban is lifted following sale • 25%
Ban is lifted without sale • 25%
Operations unaffected • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Continues with conditions • 25%
Acquired by US company • 25%
Acquired by U.S. company • 25%
Government stake • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Facing Legal Challenges • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
Operational • 25%
Continues without change • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Operates with ByteDance • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Only in Canada • 25%
Only in U.S. • 25%
Continues in both U.S. and Canada • 25%
Banned in both • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resumes Operations • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
Operates independently • 25%