Market
What will be the status of TikTok's operations in North America by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Continues in both U.S. and Canada • 25%
Only in U.S. • 25%
Only in Canada • 25%
Banned in both • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or government statements
Story
TikTok Challenges Canadian Shutdown Order Amid U.S. Divestment Law Upheld Effective January 19, 2025
Dec 11, 2024, 03:15 PM
TikTok has filed a legal challenge against the Canadian government's order to dissolve its operations in the country. The company submitted an emergency motion to block the shutdown, arguing that the government's claim of national security risk is unfounded. This move comes amidst broader scrutiny of TikTok, particularly in the U.S., where a recent appeals court upheld a law requiring its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest the app. The U.S. law is set to take effect on January 19, 2025, raising concerns about a potential ban. TikTok's actions in Canada reflect its ongoing battle against regulatory pressures in multiple jurisdictions.
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Operates independently • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Resumes Operations • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok remains shut down in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok resumes operations under new ownership • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Facing Legal Challenges • 25%
Operational • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Remains with ByteDance • 25%
Operational changes without sale • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Operates with ByteDance • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues without change • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Continues without restrictions • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Banned completely • 25%