Market
Primary outcome for TikTok in the US by Feb 2025?
2
Shou Chew•TikTok•Trump Vance Inaugural Committee•Chew•Mark Zuckerberg•Elon Musk•Jeff Bezos•United States•Chinese•ByteDance•Congress•Supreme Court•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official government announcements and corporate press releases
Story
TikTok CEO Shou Chew to Attend Trump's Inauguration as ByteDance Faces Potential Ban
Jan 16, 2025, 05:28 AM
Shou Chew, the CEO of TikTok, plans to attend President-elect Donald J. Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, after receiving an invitation from the Trump Vance Inaugural Committee. Chew will be seated in a position of honor on the dais, alongside other tech moguls such as Mark Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, and Jeff Bezos. This invitation comes at a critical time for TikTok, as the company faces a potential ban in the United States due to national security concerns related to its ownership by the Chinese company ByteDance. Congress passed a law requiring ByteDance to sell TikTok to a non-Chinese entity by January 19, 2025, or face a ban. The Supreme Court is expected to rule on this law soon, and Trump has expressed intentions to intervene to save the app upon taking office, despite his previous attempts to block it during his first term. Trump, who has 14 million followers on TikTok, is reportedly considering issuing an executive order to delay the ban for 60 to 90 days.
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Similar markets
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Continues without change • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Not operational • 25%
Under new ownership • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok remains shut down in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok resumes operations under new ownership • 25%
Facing Legal Challenges • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Operational • 25%
Ban Extended • 25%
Ban Enforced • 25%
Partnership/Acquisition • 25%
Ban Overturned • 25%
User growth • 25%
Monetization • 25%
Content partnerships • 25%
Regulatory compliance • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Operates with ByteDance • 25%
Resumes Operations • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
User base stable • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
Platform banned • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%