Market
How will Israeli policy towards Gaza change by April 2025 following ethnic cleansing accusations?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Policy becomes more aggressive • 25%
Policy becomes more conciliatory • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or policy changes from the Israeli government
Story
Netanyahu's Ex-Defense Chief Accuses Israel of Ethnic Cleansing in Northern Gaza
Nov 30, 2024, 08:11 PM
Former Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Ya'alon, who also served as IDF Chief of Staff, has accused Israel of carrying out ethnic cleansing in northern Gaza. In an interview with Democrat TV, Ya'alon criticized the current Israeli leadership, warning that the path they are taking leads to annexation and ethnic cleansing. He stated that there is no longer Beit Lahia or Beit Hanoun, and operations are ongoing in Jabalia to remove Arabs from the area. Ya'alon's claims are based on information from IDF officers on the ground, who told him that the leadership had sent them to northern Gaza to commit acts of genocide and ethnic cleansing.
View original story
Similar markets
Status quo • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Increased policy severity • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Policy modification • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Increase • 25%
Complete halt • 25%
No change • 25%
Reduction • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial military control of Gaza • 25%
Ceasefire maintained • 25%
Full military control of Gaza • 25%
Partial military operations • 25%
Continuation of ceasefire • 25%
Full military occupation of Gaza • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Majority support full military action • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Majority support partial military action • 25%
Majority support maintaining ceasefire • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
No Action • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Support from major powers • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
Support for Israeli actions • 25%