Market
How will Israeli defense policies change by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military spending • 25%
Upgraded missile defense systems • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Official Israeli government announcements or major news outlets
Story
Houthi Ballistic Missile Strikes Tel Aviv Playground on December 21, 2024, Injuring 14
Dec 21, 2024, 02:37 AM
On December 21, 2024, a ballistic missile launched by Yemen's Houthi forces struck Tel Aviv, Israel, causing damage and injuries. The missile impacted a playground located between several high-rise apartment buildings in the central area of the city. Israel's defense systems, including the Iron Dome, failed to intercept the missile, which had been launched from Yemen. Reports indicate that 14 people sustained minor injuries, primarily due to glass shards from shattered windows. The Israeli military confirmed the incident and stated that sirens had sounded across central Israel prior to the missile's impact. The Houthi forces claimed responsibility for the attack, asserting that it targeted military objectives in Tel Aviv. This incident marks a notable escalation in hostilities between the two regions, with the potential for further military responses.
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Deployment of new defense systems • 25%
Increased defense budget • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other strategic changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Policy modification • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Increased policy severity • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Other • 25%
Reorganization of command structure • 25%
Enhanced intelligence operations • 25%
Increased border security measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Houthi Infrastructure • 25%
Houthi Commanders • 25%
Iranian Forces • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased checkpoints • 25%
Curfews imposed • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New Prime Minister • 25%
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Change in military policy • 25%
No change • 25%
Complete halt • 25%
Decrease in airstrikes • 25%
Increase in airstrikes • 25%
Other significant cabinet reshuffle • 25%
New acting PM appointed • 25%
Yariv Levin becomes permanent PM • 25%
No changes • 25%
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Other • 25%
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Remain the same • 25%