Market
What action will the U.S. take in response to China's demands on Taiwan by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Halt arms sales • 25%
Cease military contacts • 25%
Issue diplomatic statement only • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official announcements from U.S. government agencies or verified news reports
Story
China Demands U.S. Halt Arms Sales, Military Contacts with Taiwan
Dec 2, 2024, 08:32 AM
China has issued a strong warning to the United States, demanding an immediate end to arms sales to Taiwan and the cessation of all official exchanges and military contacts with the region. The Chinese government has reiterated its firm opposition to any form of official interaction between the U.S. and Taiwan, urging Washington to fulfill its commitment to not support 'Taiwan independence.' A Chinese defense spokesperson further emphasized that the U.S. should not aid or abet separatist activities in Taiwan.
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Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
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Military exercises • 25%
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Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
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Condemnation by UN • 25%
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Accepts current sales • 25%
Requests more arms • 25%
Requests diplomatic mediation • 25%
Seeks alternative suppliers • 25%
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Other retaliatory measures • 25%
Military exercises near Taiwan • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Enhancement of defense infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with US allies • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
Economic sanctions against China • 25%
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Increased military presence in region • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
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Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
Maintains current policy • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Decreased support for Taiwan • 25%