Market
What will be the primary international response to China's military actions near Taiwan by June 30, 2025?
2
China•Taiwan•Wu Qian•Ministry of National Defense•PLA•Chinese•United States•First Island Chain•Sun Tzu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from major international bodies like the UN, NATO, or ASEAN
Story
China Vows No Leniency on Taiwan Independence as Nine Warships Deploy Near Island
Dec 13, 2024, 05:58 AM
China has broken its silence regarding recent military activities around Taiwan, declaring it will "not be soft" on Taiwan independence activities. Wu Qian, spokesperson for China's Ministry of National Defense, stated that the People's Liberation Army (PLA) will decide whether and when to conduct military exercises "according to our own needs and the situation of the struggle." The PLA has increased naval and coast guard deployments near Taiwan, with reports of nine Chinese coast guard ships detected south of the island. This escalation follows Taiwan President Lai Ching-te's recent visit to the United States. Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense noted that China's threat has evolved since 2022 from coercion to directly affecting the First Island Chain, undermining the rules-based international order. In response, Taiwan has initiated war-preparedness drills and closed its emergency response center established due to increased Chinese military activity. China's military spokesperson also quoted ancient strategist Sun Tzu, stating, "There are no constant situations in war, just as water has no constant shape."
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Similar markets
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased military presence in region • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
ASEAN mediation efforts • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan from other countries • 25%
U.N. intervention • 25%
Increased support for China from other countries • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Military conflict initiation • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Military assistance to Taiwan • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
Increased air patrols • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
No major international reaction • 25%
Condemnation by ASEAN • 25%
Condemnation by the U.S. • 25%