Market
Will the U.S. halt arms sales to Taiwan by March 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or State Department
Story
China Demands U.S. Halt Arms Sales, Military Contacts with Taiwan
Dec 2, 2024, 08:32 AM
China has issued a strong warning to the United States, demanding an immediate end to arms sales to Taiwan and the cessation of all official exchanges and military contacts with the region. The Chinese government has reiterated its firm opposition to any form of official interaction between the U.S. and Taiwan, urging Washington to fulfill its commitment to not support 'Taiwan independence.' A Chinese defense spokesperson further emphasized that the U.S. should not aid or abet separatist activities in Taiwan.
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Similar markets
Maintain current policy • 25%
Shift to a neutral stance • 25%
Decrease support for Taiwan • 25%
Increase support for Taiwan • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Requests diplomatic mediation • 25%
Accepts current sales • 25%
Requests more arms • 25%
Seeks alternative suppliers • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Sales are reduced • 25%
Sales are canceled • 25%
Sales are delayed • 25%
Sales proceed without change • 25%
Proceed as planned • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Reduced • 25%
Neutral stance from most countries • 25%
Condemnation from China • 25%
Support from US allies • 25%
Other • 25%
