Market
What will be the international response to China's military activities around Taiwan by April 30, 2025?
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China•United States•Taiwan•Taiwanese•Donald Trump•Foreign Ministry•Lin Jian•Lin•Taiwan Straits•Lai•Hawaii•Guam•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from major international bodies like the UN or NATO, or significant bilateral agreements
Story
China Warns U.S. Over Taiwan Support, Cites 'Red Line' Amid Lai-Johnson Call
Dec 6, 2024, 07:58 AM
China has issued a stern warning to the United States regarding its support for Taiwan, particularly following a call between Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te and U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian emphasized that the Taiwan question is a core issue in China-U.S. relations, describing it as a 'red line' that must not be crossed. Lin criticized the U.S. for what he described as 'using force to support Taiwan independence,' stating that such actions are fundamentally incompatible with peace in the Taiwan Straits. In response to President Lai's upcoming transit through Hawaii or Guam, China has stepped up military activities in the region, including likely war games around Taiwan. This move is seen as an attempt to set a 'red line' for the incoming Trump administration and U.S. allies. China has urged the U.S. to stop sending 'wrong signals' over Taiwan and to cease official exchanges with the island, which China considers part of its territory.
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Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased military presence in region • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan from other countries • 25%
Increased support for China from other countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
U.N. intervention • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased air patrols • 25%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military assistance to Taiwan • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Condemnation by ASEAN • 25%
No major international reaction • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
Condemnation by the U.S. • 25%
Economic sanctions against China • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
ASEAN mediation efforts • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
United States • 25%
Japan • 25%
Australia • 25%