Market
How will Taiwan respond to U.S. arms sales by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Requests more arms • 25%
Accepts current sales • 25%
Requests diplomatic mediation • 25%
Seeks alternative suppliers • 25%
Official statements from the Taiwanese government or Ministry of National Defense
Story
China Opposes $385 Million U.S. Arms Sales to Taiwan, Violating One-China Principle
Dec 1, 2024, 03:35 AM
China has expressed strong opposition to the recent approval of U.S. arms sales to Taiwan, valued at $385 million. A spokesperson from the Chinese Foreign Ministry stated that this decision contradicts U.S. commitments to not support Taiwan's independence and violates the one-China principle, as well as several key agreements between China and the U.S., particularly the August 17 Communiqué of 1982. The spokesperson emphasized that China has lodged serious protests against the U.S. regarding this matter and called for an immediate cessation of arms sales to Taiwan.
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Similar markets
Increased military drills • 25%
Enhancement of defense infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with US allies • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Support from US allies • 25%
Condemnation from China • 25%
Neutral stance from most countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military presence near Taiwan • 25%
Economic sanctions on U.S. • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Reduced • 25%
Sales are canceled • 25%
Sales are reduced • 25%
Sales proceed without change • 25%
Sales are delayed • 25%
Proceed as planned • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
US support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
China condemnation • 25%
EU support • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant diplomatic response • 25%
Impose economic sanctions on Taiwan • 25%
Recall ambassador from U.S. • 25%
Issue a formal protest • 25%