Market
What will be the international response to China's military activities around Taiwan by February 28, 2025?
2
Taiwan•Chinese•China•Zhejiang•Fujian•Notice to Air Missions•NOTAM•PLA•Eastern•Northern•Japanese•East•South China Seas•Taiwanese•Pacific
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Statements from major international bodies like the UN, NATO, or ASEAN.
Story
Taiwan Raises Alert as China Deploys 14 Warships, Imposes Airspace Restrictions Until December 11
Dec 9, 2024, 05:17 AM
Taiwan's military has raised its alert level and activated an emergency response center after detecting a significant increase in Chinese military activity around the island. Taiwan's defense ministry reported that between Saturday and Sunday, 14 Chinese warships and 7 military aircraft were operating near Taiwan, nearly doubling the number from the previous day. China has established seven reserved airspace zones east of Zhejiang and Fujian provinces, issuing a Notice to Air Missions (NOTAM) that imposes temporary airspace restrictions until December 11, possibly indicating preparations for missile launches. The People's Liberation Army (PLA) has deployed naval fleets and coast guard vessels from its Eastern, Northern, and Southern Theater Commands around Taiwan, prompting Taiwan to initiate combat readiness drills and put troops on the highest alert levels. A security source reported that China currently has nearly 90 navy and coast guard ships in waters near Taiwan, the southern Japanese islands, and the East and South China Seas, with around two-thirds being navy vessels. Taiwan's coast guard has stated that China does not have the right to carry out any intrusion and law enforcement actions in its waters and has alerted commercial vessels and fishing boats to remain vigilant. Seven Chinese coast guard ships are conducting abnormal activities around Taiwan. The increased Chinese military presence is believed to be a response to Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te's recent overseas trip to Pacific allies.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased military presence in region • 25%
U.N. intervention • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan from other countries • 25%
Increased support for China from other countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by the U.S. • 25%
No major international reaction • 25%
Condemnation by ASEAN • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military assistance to Taiwan • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
ASEAN mediation efforts • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
Increased air patrols • 25%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
Economic sanctions against China • 25%
No significant response • 25%
United States • 25%
Australia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Japan • 25%