Market
Ukraine's geopolitical status post-peace talks by end of 2025?
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Donald Trump•Assad•Syria•Russia•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•China•Putin•Vladimir
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains neutral • 25%
Ukraine aligns with Russia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the Ukrainian government or major international news reports
Story
Trump Urges Ceasefire After Assad Flees Syria; Calls on Russia, Ukraine, and China to Negotiate
Dec 8, 2024, 11:42 AM
President-elect Donald Trump responded to the recent collapse of the Assad regime in Syria, announcing that "Assad is gone" after Russia withdrew its support and Assad fled the country. Trump noted that Russian President Vladimir Putin is in a "weakened state" following these events. He called for an immediate ceasefire and the start of negotiations to end the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, mentioning that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky "wants to make a deal." Emphasizing the devastating toll of the conflict, Trump stated that "hundreds of thousands of people are being killed" and that "cities have been emptied out and demolished." He urged China to help facilitate the negotiations, expressing his familiarity with Putin by saying, "I know Vladimir well. This is the time to act."
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No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Ukraine remains sovereign • 25%
Ukraine splits into regions • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine becomes a Russian ally • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine remains neutral, no NATO membership • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Divided into multiple states • 25%
Recognized as sovereign • 25%
Ceased to exist as a sovereign state • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
Partially sovereign with limited recognition • 25%
Fully sovereign and recognized • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire in place • 25%
War has ended • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalated to larger conflict • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%