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What will be Ukraine's status in the international community by end of 2025?
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Nikolai Patrushev•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Komsomolskaya Pravda•Patrushev•Russia•United States•Western•London•Brussels•Moscow•Ukrainian•Kyiv
Resolution / Starting Odds
Recognized as sovereign • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
Divided into multiple states • 25%
Other • 25%
Decisions by the United Nations or major international bodies
Story
Putin's Aide Predicts Ukraine's Demise by 2025, Advocates Bilateral Talks with US, Excludes London and Brussels
Jan 14, 2025, 01:29 PM
Nikolai Patrushev, a close aide to Russian President Vladimir Putin, has predicted that Ukraine may cease to exist as a sovereign state by 2025. In an interview with the Russian newspaper Komsomolskaya Pravda, Patrushev stated that it is possible Ukraine will 'cease to exist altogether' in the coming year. He also emphasized that negotiations regarding Ukraine's future should be conducted exclusively between Russia and the United States, without the involvement of other Western countries. Patrushev dismissed the need for discussions with London or Brussels, asserting that Moscow has nothing to discuss with them. He further claimed that the Ukrainian people are closely tied to Russia by centuries-old bonds, despite efforts by Kyiv to promote anti-Russian propaganda.
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Divided into regions controlled by different entities • 25%
Other status • 25%
Annexed by Russia • 25%
Independent sovereign state • 25%
Partially sovereign with limited recognition • 25%
Fully sovereign and recognized • 25%
Ceased to exist as a sovereign state • 25%
Under Russian control • 25%
New peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Increased economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Negotiations result in partial agreements • 25%
Negotiations result in comprehensive agreements • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Negotiations occur with no agreements • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine aligns with Russia • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains neutral • 25%
Stalemate with current borders • 25%
Loss of territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Pro-Russia alignment • 33%
Pro-NATO alignment • 33%
Neutral alignment • 34%
Full NATO member • 25%
Other status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
Pending • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Membership postponed • 25%
Process ongoing • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership granted • 25%