Market
Status of Ukraine war by end of 2025
2
Donald Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Turning Point USA•AmericaFest•Phoenix•Arizona•Trump•Putin•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
War has ended • 25%
Ceasefire in place • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalated to larger conflict • 25%
Official reports from international organizations or major news outlets
Story
Trump Open to Meeting Putin to End Ukraine War Sparked in February 2022
Dec 22, 2024, 07:26 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated his readiness to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. Speaking at the Turning Point USA's AmericaFest in Phoenix, Arizona, Trump mentioned that Putin expressed a desire to meet 'as soon as possible' to address the conflict, which began with Russia's invasion in February 2022. Trump described the war as 'horrible' and emphasized the urgency of ending it, stating that 'millions of soldiers have died' and that the situation is 'ridiculous.' He also reiterated his belief that the war would not have occurred if he had been president during the initial stages of the conflict.
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Ceasefire • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Russia gains significant control • 25%
Ukraine regains territories • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No change in territorial control • 25%
Ukraine regains all territories • 25%
Ukraine regains some territories • 25%
Russia gains more territory • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%