Market
Outcome of U.S. attempt to reassert control over Panama Canal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. gains control • 25%
Fee reduction agreement • 25%
No change • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Official U.S. government actions, international treaties, or diplomatic agreements
Story
Trump Threatens to Reassert U.S. Control Over Panama Canal, Citing Exorbitant Fees and Alleged Chinese Involvement
Dec 28, 2024, 04:30 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has reignited controversy by expressing his intention to reassert American control over the Panama Canal, claiming that Panama has been charging exorbitant fees for its use. In a Christmas message, Trump accused Chinese soldiers of illegally operating the canal, a claim vehemently denied by Panama's President José Raúl Mulino, who emphasized that there is no Chinese interference in the canal's operations. Trump's remarks, made via his social media platform, have escalated tensions with Panama.
View original story
Similar markets
U.S. regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Shared control agreement • 25%
Joint U.S.-Panama control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
No change in control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Successful reacquisition • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No Action • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
