Market
U.S. formal diplomatic action against Panama over Canal by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or White House press releases
Story
Trump Threatens to Reassert U.S. Control Over Panama Canal, Citing Exorbitant Fees and Alleged Chinese Involvement
Dec 28, 2024, 04:30 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has reignited controversy by expressing his intention to reassert American control over the Panama Canal, claiming that Panama has been charging exorbitant fees for its use. In a Christmas message, Trump accused Chinese soldiers of illegally operating the canal, a claim vehemently denied by Panama's President José Raúl Mulino, who emphasized that there is no Chinese interference in the canal's operations. Trump's remarks, made via his social media platform, have escalated tensions with Panama.
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No significant action • 25%
Demand fee reduction • 25%
Reclaim canal • 25%
Negotiate new treaty • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Negotiation offer • 25%
No response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
US withdraws proposal • 25%
Panama agrees • 25%
Panama rejects • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
