Market
Control of Panama Canal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Panama • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Panamanian government or international treaties
Story
Trump Plans to Reclaim Panama Canal from China Due to Unfair Treatment of American Ships
Jan 20, 2025, 05:34 PM
President Donald Trump has announced plans to reclaim the Panama Canal, stating that it is currently being operated by China. Trump clarified that the U.S. did not give the canal to China but to Panama, and emphasized his intention to take it back. He mentioned that American ships are being unfairly treated when using the canal, which underpins his decision to bring it back under American ownership.
View original story
Similar markets
U.S. Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Chinese Control • 25%
Panamanian Control • 25%
Other entity gains control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
China gains control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Demand return of the canal • 25%
Increase tariffs on Panama • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Negotiate lower fees • 25%
China • 25%
No new perceived controller • 25%
Another country • 25%
Russia • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
No Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Shared control agreement • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Fee reduction agreement • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Reclaim control • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%