Market
China responds to Trump's Panama Canal allegations by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Statements from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs or official Chinese government releases
Story
Trump Threatens to Reassert U.S. Control Over Panama Canal, Citing Exorbitant Fees and Alleged Chinese Involvement
Dec 28, 2024, 04:30 AM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has reignited controversy by expressing his intention to reassert American control over the Panama Canal, claiming that Panama has been charging exorbitant fees for its use. In a Christmas message, Trump accused Chinese soldiers of illegally operating the canal, a claim vehemently denied by Panama's President José Raúl Mulino, who emphasized that there is no Chinese interference in the canal's operations. Trump's remarks, made via his social media platform, have escalated tensions with Panama.
View original story
Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Call for dialogue • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Increase in transit fees • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Negotiation with the U.S. • 25%
Seek international mediation • 25%
Ignore threat • 25%
Negotiate with US • 25%
Increase security • 25%
Rejection of U.S. claims • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
Seek international mediation • 25%
No official response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Individual country responses • 25%
Issue joint statement • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No response • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Organization of American States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
ALBA • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased US military presence • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No change • 25%
U.S. reimposes control • 25%
Panama reduces tolls • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US demands canal return • 25%
