Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. negotiations to reacquire the Panama Canal by end of 2025?
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Dusty Johnson•Donald Trump•Panama Canal•Panama•Congress•Johnson•China•Teddy Roosevelt•Trump•Republican
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful reacquisition • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Panamanian governments
Story
Rep. Dusty Johnson Proposes $1 Panama Canal Repurchase Act Empowering Trump
Jan 8, 2025, 10:20 PM
Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-S.D.) has introduced the Panama Canal Repurchase Act of 2025, which would authorize President-elect Donald Trump or any U.S. president to negotiate the reacquisition of the Panama Canal from Panama. The bill proposes a symbolic purchase price of $1 and requires the president to report to Congress within 180 days on the progress and challenges of the negotiations. Johnson emphasized the strategic importance of the canal, citing concerns over China's influence in the region. He described the move as a "Teddy Roosevelt moment," highlighting that the canal was well-run under U.S. leadership and calling its handover in 1977 a "bad decision." Trump, during a recent press conference, highlighted the canal's significance to the U.S. and did not rule out the possibility of using military force to secure it. The legislation reflects broader Republican efforts to reassert U.S. control over the canal, which was handed over to Panama in 1977.
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Similar markets
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Shared control agreement • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Panama agrees • 25%
US withdraws proposal • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama rejects • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
Joint U.S.-Panama control • 25%
No change in control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Fee reduction agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No change • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful negotiation • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
