Market
Outcome of U.S.-Panama canal negotiations by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Official statements from U.S. and Panamanian governments
Story
President-elect Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over "Exorbitant" Fees
Dec 22, 2024, 07:30 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has indicated that he may demand the return of the Panama Canal to the United States, citing "exorbitant prices and rates of passage" imposed on U.S. naval and merchant ships by Panama. He criticized the fees as a "complete rip-off" and warned that if Panama does not lower them, the U.S. should reclaim control of the strategic waterway. Trump also expressed concern that the canal could fall into "wrong hands," alluding to potential foreign control, and criticized the 1977 treaty under which President Jimmy Carter agreed to transfer control of the canal to Panama.
View original story
Similar markets
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful reacquisition • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Successful negotiation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
Joint U.S.-Panama control • 25%
No change in control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Shared control agreement • 25%
Panama rejects • 25%
US withdraws proposal • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama agrees • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
No Action • 25%