Market
Outcome of next significant Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement on ceasefire • 25%
No progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Joint humanitarian initiative • 25%
Official statements from the governments of Israel and Lebanon or reports from international diplomatic observers
Story
IDF Seizes 85,170 Military Items from Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon, Killing 3,800 Operatives
Dec 25, 2024, 04:16 PM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have reported the seizure of over 85,170 military items from Hezbollah during their operations in southern Lebanon. This includes a wide array of weaponry, with the IDF stating that the items were confiscated from more than 30 villages. The weapons on display include 6,840 RPG rockets and anti-tank missiles, 9,000 explosive devices, 2,250 unguided rockets, 2,700 assault rifles, and various other military equipment. The IDF's ground operations began in early October 2024, targeting Hezbollah's infrastructure, and have reportedly resulted in the deaths of approximately 3,800 Hezbollah operatives. The IDF has also established a display of the captured weapons at an army base in northern Israel, showcasing the extent of the confiscation efforts against Hezbollah's military capabilities.
View original story
Similar markets
Escalating tensions • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Peaceful relations • 25%
Tense but stable relations • 25%
Ceasefire Collapsed • 25%
Ceasefire Renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire Implemented • 25%
Ceasefire Extended • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
Relations remain tense • 25%
Partial disarmament • 25%
No significant disarmament • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Complete disarmament of Hezbollah • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Stalemate with no resolution • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peaceful resolution with full compliance • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Partial compliance with ongoing tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
Military conflict initiated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire continues without incident • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Weapons disarmament • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Ceasefire enforcement • 25%
Political negotiations • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant international action • 25%