Market
What will be the outcome of Israeli-Syrian diplomatic efforts by the end of 2025?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Syrian•Israel•Syria•Iran•Hezbollah•Netanyahu•Israeli military•Iranian•Knesset•Assad
Resolution / Starting Odds
Establishment of relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or reports from international diplomatic bodies
Story
Netanyahu Warns Syria Against Aiding Iran, Hezbollah; Promises Heavy Price for Threats
Dec 11, 2024, 10:03 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has issued a stern warning to the new Syrian regime, stating that Israel will respond forcefully if Syria allows Iran to re-establish itself or transfer weapons to Hezbollah. Netanyahu emphasized that Israel is prepared to exact a heavy price for any threats emanating from Syria. He also expressed a desire for diplomatic relations with Syria's future leadership, while simultaneously conducting airstrikes on military targets in the country. This dual approach comes as Israel is reportedly engaged in a war on seven fronts, with the possibility of additional fronts emerging. The Israeli military has targeted Syrian military capabilities, including air, sea, missiles, and warehouses, in an effort to dismantle what Netanyahu refers to as the 'Iranian axis of evil.' Netanyahu made these comments in the Knesset, warning Syrian rebel forces that they would face consequences similar to those experienced by the Assad regime if they followed in its footsteps.
View original story
Similar markets
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Informal relations improved • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Full concession by Israel • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Partial concession by Israel • 25%
No negotiations held • 25%
Israel agrees to withdraw • 25%
Israel increases presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Talks held, no resolution • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Talks scheduled for future • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
New security agreement reached • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful peace talks initiated • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Diplomatic efforts to de-escalate • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%