Market
What will be the international response to Israel-Lebanon/Hezbollah conflict by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
UN calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Statements from international bodies such as the United Nations or major countries' governments, reported by major news outlets.
Story
Israel to Treat Lebanon and Hezbollah as One if Ceasefire Collapses
Dec 3, 2024, 10:45 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has issued a stern warning to Lebanon, stating that if the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah collapses, Israel will no longer differentiate between the Lebanese state and Hezbollah. Katz emphasized that there would be no tolerance for Lebanon in such a scenario, and Israel would respond forcefully, treating Hezbollah and Lebanon as one entity. He urged the Lebanese army to enforce the ceasefire and keep Hezbollah away from the Litani River, warning that if war resumes, Israel would strike harder and deeper into Lebanon, including targeting Hezbollah's stronghold in Da'ahiya and Beirut.
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Similar markets
No Significant Response • 25%
Call for Renewed Ceasefire • 25%
Increased Support for Lebanon • 25%
Increased Pressure on Israel • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
Increased US involvement • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
EU mediation • 25%
US diplomatic pressure • 25%
No international response • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
EU diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Strong condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Mild criticism • 25%
UN sanctions on Israel • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
UN sanctions on both • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Other • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Increased sanctions on Houthis • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Arab League mediation • 25%
Other response • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant intervention • 25%
UN sanctions on Hamas • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%