Market
Main cause of Hamas-Israel ceasefire breakdown by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hamas actions • 25%
Israeli actions • 25%
External influences • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Analysis from geopolitical experts and reports from major news outlets like The New York Times or The Washington Post
Story
Hamas, Led by Abu Ubaida, Affirms Ceasefire Commitment Contingent on Israel's Compliance
Jan 19, 2025, 04:17 PM
Hamas has affirmed its commitment to implementing the terms of a ceasefire agreement with Israel, which came into effect recently. The group's military wing, through spokesperson Abu Ubaida, stated that their adherence to the agreement is contingent upon Israel's compliance. Hamas emphasized that the success of the ceasefire depends on Israel's commitment and warned that any violations by Israel could jeopardize the process. The agreement is described as a result of the Palestinian people's steadfastness and resistance against what Hamas refers to as 'Zionist terror'. Abu Ubaida, on behalf of Hamas and other resistance factions, declared their full commitment to the ceasefire agreement.
View original story
Similar markets
Political disagreements • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Technical issues • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Territorial disputes • 25%
Other • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Prisoner exchange disputes • 25%
External interference • 25%
Other • 25%
Violation by Israel • 25%
Violation by Hamas • 25%
Breach of terms by Hamas • 25%
Internal political pressure • 25%
Breach of terms by Israel • 25%
External interference • 25%
Hamas Actions • 25%
Other • 25%
External Influence • 25%
Israeli Actions • 25%
Third-party intervention • 25%
Renewed hostilities initiated by Hamas • 25%
Renewed hostilities initiated by Israel • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Negotiations break down completely • 25%
Negotiations continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release terms • 25%
Disagreements over prisoner release terms • 25%
Logistical challenges • 25%
Internal Palestinian disagreements • 25%
New Israeli demands • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire broken, minor conflicts • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire remains intact • 25%
Ceasefire partially violated • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire fully violated • 25%
New peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire broken, major conflicts • 25%
U.S. pressure on Israel • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Lack of international pressure • 25%
Internal Hamas strategy • 25%
Ceasefire Terms • 25%
Other • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
Hostage Release Issues • 25%