Market
How will Turkey's role in Middle Eastern diplomacy change by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Analyses from geopolitical experts and reports from credible international news agencies
Story
Turkey to Reopen Damascus Embassy on December 14 After 12 Years
Dec 13, 2024, 07:15 PM
Turkey will reopen its embassy in Damascus on Saturday, December 14, restoring diplomatic relations with Syria after a 12-year hiatus, Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan announced. Fidan stated that Turkey has been engaged in negotiations with Russia and Iran to ensure a peaceful resolution in Syria and minimize loss of life. He noted that Turkey had seen the risks but the Syrian regime turned its back on the processes Ankara wanted to initiate. Diplomatic staff are heading to Syria and will begin work immediately upon arrival.
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Worsening relations • 25%
Turkey's withdrawal from NATO • 25%
No change • 25%
Officially recognized improvement • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
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Improved slightly • 25%
No change • 25%
Lead mediator • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Supporting role • 25%
Opposition to other mediations • 25%
Elimination of PKK/YPG • 25%
Cooperation with the U.S. • 25%
Countering ISIS • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Turkey establishes a friendly government in Syria • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Continued military presence without government change • 25%
Turkey withdraws influence from Syria • 25%