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How will NATO respond to potential Russian escalation in Ukraine by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in military presence • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Official NATO statements or credible news reports
Story
NATO Takes Over Ukraine Military Aid Coordination from US, Citing Trump Concerns
Dec 17, 2024, 04:32 PM
NATO has taken over the coordination of Western military aid to Ukraine from the United States, as planned, according to a Reuters source. This move is widely seen as an effort to safeguard the support mechanism from potential disruptions by NATO skeptic Donald Trump, who is set to take office in January. The transition, which comes after a delay of several months, gives NATO a more direct role in the ongoing conflict against Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The headquarters of NATO's new mission, named NATO Security Assistance and Training for Ukraine (NSATU), is located at Clay Barracks in Wiesbaden, Germany, and is now fully operational.
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Deployment of additional troops to Eastern Europe • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Diplomatic support only • 25%
Direct military support • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
Focus on technology and innovation • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Strengthened alliances with non-NATO countries • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Diplomatic Talks Initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military response • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN sanctions on Russia • 25%
NATO military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Ukraine admitted to NATO • 25%
NATO membership talks initiated • 25%
Ukraine offered a pathway to membership • 25%
No change in Ukraine's status • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Increased NATO presence • 25%
NATO agrees to demands • 25%
Increase in their own aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No response • 25%