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What will be the outcome of NATO's Ukraine aid coordination by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased aid and support • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased aid and support • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Reports from NATO and international news agencies
Story
NATO Takes Over Ukraine Military Aid Coordination from US, Citing Trump Concerns
Dec 17, 2024, 04:32 PM
NATO has taken over the coordination of Western military aid to Ukraine from the United States, as planned, according to a Reuters source. This move is widely seen as an effort to safeguard the support mechanism from potential disruptions by NATO skeptic Donald Trump, who is set to take office in January. The transition, which comes after a delay of several months, gives NATO a more direct role in the ongoing conflict against Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The headquarters of NATO's new mission, named NATO Security Assistance and Training for Ukraine (NSATU), is located at Clay Barracks in Wiesbaden, Germany, and is now fully operational.
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Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine remains outside NATO with increased cooperation • 25%
Ukraine receives no further NATO support • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine admitted to NATO • 25%
Ukraine offered a pathway to membership • 25%
No change in Ukraine's status • 25%
NATO membership talks initiated • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No major action • 25%
Deployment of troops • 25%
Humanitarian support • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Diplomatic support only • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Direct military support • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Receives alternative guarantees • 25%
Achieves NATO membership • 25%
Withdraws membership request • 25%
No change in status • 25%
New security guarantees proposed • 25%
Support for immediate membership • 25%
Support for future membership • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ukraine continues NATO ambitions • 25%
Ukraine abandons NATO ambitions • 25%