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What will be the international response to potential escalation in Ukraine by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic Talks Initiated • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Statements from NATO, the United Nations, or major international news outlets
Story
Putin Says Russia Should Have Launched Full-Scale Invasion of Ukraine Earlier Than February 2022 During Live Event
Dec 19, 2024, 01:55 PM
During a recent live event, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that the decision to launch the special military operation in Ukraine should have been made earlier than February 2022. He expressed that a more systematic preparation for the operation was necessary. Reflecting on the past three years, Putin acknowledged the challenges faced by Russia and himself, asserting that if he could revisit the situation in 2022, he would advocate for an earlier invasion rather than waiting for Russia's position to deteriorate. This sentiment was echoed in multiple reports, emphasizing that Putin believes the offensive should have commenced sooner.
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Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
NATO military support to Ukraine • 25%
UN sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic intervention to de-escalate • 25%
New sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Mediation Efforts • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mediation attempts • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Call for independent investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other response • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation without sanctions • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%