Market
What will be the international response to the Russia-Ukraine escalation by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN sanctions on Russia • 25%
NATO military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official statements from the UN, NATO, EU, or major national governments
Story
Putin Threatens Greater Destruction After Kazan Hit by Eight Ukrainian Drones
Dec 22, 2024, 12:15 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has vowed to bring greater destruction to Ukraine following a drone attack involving at least eight drones on the Russian city of Kazan, located approximately 1,000 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. On Saturday, Ukrainian drones loaded with explosives targeted Kazan, damaging infrastructure that authorities in the Republic of Tatarstan have pledged to restore. Speaking during a videoconference dedicated to the launch of transportation infrastructure projects, Putin stated, 'Whoever tries to destroy something here will face many times more destruction themselves and will regret what they are trying to do in our country.'
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Diplomatic intervention to de-escalate • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
New sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Diplomatic Talks Initiated • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Mediation Efforts • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Mediation attempts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Call for independent investigation • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant change in response • 25%
Military support to Ukraine increased • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions pursued • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%