Market
What will NATO's response be to Russia's military actions by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
NATO official statements or military action reports
Story
NATO Chief Urges 'Wartime Mindset' to Counter Russia, Amid Trump's Influence
Dec 13, 2024, 05:45 AM
NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte has issued a stark warning to the alliance's members, urging them to adopt a 'wartime mindset' and significantly increase defense spending to prepare for potential future conflicts with Russia. Rutte emphasized that Russia is preparing for a long-term confrontation with Ukraine and NATO, describing the current security situation as the most severe in his lifetime. He highlighted the need for NATO to 'turbocharge' its defense production and spending, suggesting that the current 2% GDP target for defense spending is insufficient. Rutte's call comes as Russian forces continue to advance in Ukraine, with Moscow increasing its defense budget significantly. The NATO chief's comments are also aimed at influencing the incoming US President Donald Trump, who has previously criticized NATO allies for not spending enough on defense. European leaders face the challenge of balancing increased defense spending with other voter priorities like living costs and healthcare.
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Deployment of additional troops to Eastern Europe • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increase in military presence • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Increased patrols • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
No action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military support to Ukraine increased • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions pursued • 25%
No significant change in response • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Focus on technology and innovation • 25%
Strengthened alliances with non-NATO countries • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Diplomatic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%