Market
What will be NATO's involvement in Ukraine by end of 2025?
2
Russian•Vladimir Putin•Russia•Ukrainian•Kyiv•Ukraine•Putin•Russian Defense Ministry•NATO•Krasnoarmeysk
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military involvement • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
Official NATO announcements or major news agency reports
Story
Putin Claims Russia's Conflict is with 'Neo-Nazi Regime' in Kyiv, Not Ukrainian People; Warns of NATO Military Conflict
Dec 16, 2024, 11:40 AM
In recent statements, Russian President Vladimir Putin reiterated that Russia's conflict is not with the Ukrainian populace but rather with what he termed the 'neo-Nazi regime' that took power in Kyiv following the 2014 coup. He asserted that all issues between Ukraine and Russia stem from this 'bloody unconstitutional coup' and emphasized that the current Ukrainian government is losing its legitimacy and signs of statehood. Putin's remarks were made during a visit to the Russian Defense Ministry, where he also indicated that the Ukrainian regime is committing daily crimes against both its own citizens and the Russian people. He warned of the potential for further military developments, including a conflict with NATO, as tensions continue to escalate in the region. Additionally, reports suggested that the loss of control over the city of Krasnoarmeysk could significantly impact the Ukrainian economy.
View original story
Similar markets
Direct military support • 25%
Diplomatic support only • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Ukraine receives no further NATO support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains outside NATO with increased cooperation • 25%
NATO membership talks initiated • 25%
Ukraine admitted to NATO • 25%
No change in Ukraine's status • 25%
Ukraine offered a pathway to membership • 25%
Increased aid and support • 25%
Decreased aid and support • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
No change • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Military aid • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Humanitarian support • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Changes in membership criteria • 33%
No significant changes • 34%
Changes in defense commitments • 33%
Other status • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Ukraine abandons NATO ambitions • 25%
Ukraine continues NATO ambitions • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Deployment of troops • 25%
No major action • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Other • 25%