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Will Nicaragua extend presidential terms to six years by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government announcements or constitutional changes published by credible sources
Story
Nicaragua's Ortega Proposes Constitutional Reform for Co-Presidency with Rosario Murillo and Six-Year Terms
Nov 20, 2024, 07:05 PM
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega has proposed a constitutional reform that would significantly expand presidential powers. The reform aims to establish a 'co-president' and a 'co-presidenta,' effectively elevating Vice President Rosario Murillo, Ortega's wife, to a dual leadership role. Additionally, the proposal seeks to extend presidential terms from four to six years, further consolidating power within the executive branch. This move has raised concerns regarding increased state control over the media and the overall political landscape in Nicaragua.
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Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Strong condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Moderate criticism without sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support or endorsement • 25%
Increased authoritarian control • 25%
Emergence of significant opposition • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Political reforms towards democracy • 25%
Strengthened Ortega's power • 25%
Increased political instability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved political stability • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support from allies • 25%
Further punitive measures against political opponents • 25%
Reconciliation efforts with expelled prisoners • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%