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What will be the outcome of Nicaragua's constitutional reform proposal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Official government announcements, constitutional documents, or credible news reports
Story
Nicaragua's Ortega Proposes Constitutional Reform for Co-Presidency with Rosario Murillo and Six-Year Terms
Nov 20, 2024, 07:05 PM
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega has proposed a constitutional reform that would significantly expand presidential powers. The reform aims to establish a 'co-president' and a 'co-presidenta,' effectively elevating Vice President Rosario Murillo, Ortega's wife, to a dual leadership role. Additionally, the proposal seeks to extend presidential terms from four to six years, further consolidating power within the executive branch. This move has raised concerns regarding increased state control over the media and the overall political landscape in Nicaragua.
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Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Strengthened Ortega's power • 25%
Increased political instability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved political stability • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support from allies • 25%
Strong condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Moderate criticism without sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support or endorsement • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General acceptance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased authoritarian control • 25%
Emergence of significant opposition • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Political reforms towards democracy • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
No protests • 25%
Government crackdown on protests • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%