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What will be the international response to Nicaragua's constitutional reform by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Widespread condemnation • 25%
General approval • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Largely ignored • 25%
Statements from international organizations, foreign governments, or credible news sources
Story
Nicaragua's Ortega Proposes Constitutional Reform for Co-Presidency with Rosario Murillo and Six-Year Terms
Nov 20, 2024, 07:05 PM
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega has proposed a constitutional reform that would significantly expand presidential powers. The reform aims to establish a 'co-president' and a 'co-presidenta,' effectively elevating Vice President Rosario Murillo, Ortega's wife, to a dual leadership role. Additionally, the proposal seeks to extend presidential terms from four to six years, further consolidating power within the executive branch. This move has raised concerns regarding increased state control over the media and the overall political landscape in Nicaragua.
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Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support from allies • 25%
Strong condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Moderate criticism without sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support or endorsement • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General acceptance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Approved as proposed • 25%
Approved with modifications • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
European Union • 25%
No significant action by any body • 25%
Strengthened Ortega's power • 25%
Increased political instability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved political stability • 25%
New sanctions from the U.S. • 25%
New sanctions from the EU • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Minor protests • 25%
No protests • 25%
Government crackdown on protests • 25%
Establish new embassies • 25%
Close existing embassies • 25%
Reassign current ambassadors • 25%
No significant changes • 25%